THREE PROBABLE SCENARIOS OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND THEIR SOCIOECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS

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Carlos Topete Barrera
Cendejas H. Santiago
Isaías Álvarez García

Abstract

This paper presents a broader study that proposes three likely scenarios of scientific and technological development for the transition from modernization to a postmodern society. The goal is to identify and assess strategies and alternatives for action to make desirable futures for science and technology in Mexico feasible.
These three scenarios—Trend, Emerging, and Alternative—consider three basic dimensions: a. Context, b. Dominant technologies, and c. Social impact.

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Author Biographies

Carlos Topete Barrera, National Polytechnic Institute, Mexico

Professor and researcher at the Graduate Studies Department of the School of Commerce and Administration, National Polytechnic Institute

Cendejas H. Santiago, National Polytechnic Institute, Mexico

Professor and researcher at the Graduate Studies Department of the School of Commerce and Administration, National Polytechnic Institute

Isaías Álvarez García, National Polytechnic Institute, Mexico

Professor and researcher at the Graduate Studies Department of the School of Commerce and Administration, National Polytechnic Institute

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