FORECASTS AND TRENDS FOR THE MEXICAN ECONOMY IN 2001

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JOSÉ LUIS VÁZQUEZ SÁMANO

Abstract

The desaceration of USA economics grow, our main commercial partner, plus the expectative of lowers international petroleum prices, have generate afraid in the majority of the economics agents about the impact that this phenomenon will have in the Mexican economy during this year.
Surely this external factors will have negative in fluency in our economic grow, principally will affect the manufacture exportation sector and the public financials, although the international specialists don't prevent a recession in the economic of USA during all the year, they prevent just a desaceleration. Respect to the spole waited in the petroleum entry of the Mexican government, surely will exert additional pressures to the fix expense in the case that the international price of the oil will be under 18 dolars per barrel in average during all the year.

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Author Biography

JOSÉ LUIS VÁZQUEZ SÁMANO, National Polytechnic Institute, Mexico

Current professional position: Deputy Director of the Center for Economic Studies of the Private Sector, A.C. Researcher in the Public Accounting Economics Area of ​​the Research System of the Higher School of Commerce and Administration of the IPN, Professor of Economics at ESCA and in the Diploma Section of the College of Public Accountants, Research line: Economics. Email: jvazquez@cce.org.mx

References

Banco de México. Encuesta de los Especialistas en Economía del Sector Privado. Enero del 2000. México, D. F.

Banco de México. Encuesta de los Especialistas en Economía del Sector Privado. Febrero del 2001. México, D. F.

Centro de Estudios Económicos del Sector Privado, A. C. México, D. F. Consensus Forecast New York N.Y. USA.